Thursday, June 30, 2011

Loan Pre-Approval and Turning Yourself Into a “Cash Buyer”


Being pre-approved for a loan puts you in a great position when buying a home. It puts you on equal footing with an all-cash buyer, in essence turning yourself into a cash buyer.

With a real pre-approval, the buyer is the next-best-thing to being a “cash buyer” because the seller can rest assured that the buyer will qualify for a loan.

A truly “all-cash buyer” does not have to worry about lender approvals, but will typically still be concerned with a property appraisal and an acceptable title report.

Being pre-approved for a loan puts a buyer in a better position with the seller of the property. It allows the buyer to understand the costs associated with the purchase as well as the monthly costs associated with the ongoing ownership.

The Pre-Approval Process

The pre-approval process simply means that a buyer is getting approved for a loan prior to reaching an agreement with a seller of a property. The buyer will provide the lender with current income, asset and credit documents and the lender will determine the loan amount for which the buyer will be able to borrower.

The pre-approval process can take anywhere from 2 – 30 days, depending on the variables surrounding the possible transaction (credit worthiness, location of assets, calculation of income, etc).
Once a loan amount and purchase price have been determined by the lender, the final approval will usually be subject to an acceptable purchase contract, property appraisal, title report and final interest rates.

While it will vary from borrower to borrower based in the individual characteristics, a lender will typically be able to pre-approve a buyer within 5 days of receiving all of the applicable income, asset and credit documents.

Monday, June 27, 2011

This Week’s Market Commentary

This week brings us the release of four economic reports for the markets to digest, with three of them being considered important.
 
One of those three is one of the more important reports we see each month.

There is relevant data or events scheduled for each day except Thursday, so it will likely be another active week for mortgage rates.

May’s Personal Income and Outlays data will be posted early this morning. This report gives us an indication of consumer ability to spend and current spending activity. They are important because consumer spending makes up two-thirds of the U.S. economy.

Analysts are expecting to see an increase of 0.3% in income and a 0.1% rise in the spending portion of the report. Smaller than expected increases should be good news for the bond market and mortgage rates.

June’s Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) is the second report of the week. It will be posted late Tuesday morning. It is important to the financial markets because it measures consumer willingness to spend. If consumers are more confident about their own financial situations, they are likely more apt to make large purchases in the near future.

Current forecasts are calling for a reading of 60.3, down from last month’s 60.8 reading. The lower the reading, the better the news for bonds and mortgage rates.

Friday has two reports scheduled, with the first coming from the University of Michigan who will update their Index of Consumer Sentiment for May. This index gives us a measurement of consumer willingness to spend.

As with Tuesday’s CCI, if consumers are more comfortable with their own financial situations, they are more apt to make large purchases in the near future. Since consumer spending makes up two-thirds of the U.S. economy, any related data has the potential to affect bond trading and mortgage rates.

The second report of the day and the last data of the week is the Institute of Supply Management’s (ISM) manufacturing index for June late Friday morning. This index measures manufacturer sentiment by surveying trade executives on current business conditions. A reading above 50 means that more surveyed executives felt business improved during the month than those who felt it had worsened.

Analysts are expecting a reading of 51.1. That would indicate that manufacturers felt business worsened from the previous month, when we saw a 53.5 reading. Good news for bonds and mortgage rates would be a weaker than expected reading, particularly something below the recessionary threshold of 50.0.

Overall, tomorrow and Tuesday’s data should bring some volatility in trading and mortgage rates, but Friday’s ISM report is definitely the most important of the week.

Monday, June 20, 2011

This Week’s Market Commentary

This will likely prove to be another active week in terms of mortgage rate movement due to the economic data and other events that are scheduled, but we may see less intra-day swings than we did the past two weeks. There are four economic reports scheduled for release in addition to another Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting.
 
There is no relevant economic news scheduled for release tomorrow. Tuesday brings us the first data with the release of May’s Existing Home Sales report. The National Association of Realtors will give us figures on home resales late Tuesday morning. This data helps us measure housing sector strength and mortgage credit demand, but it usually takes a large variance from forecasts for it to cause a noticeable change to mortgage rates. It is expected to show a decline in home sales from April to May.

Wednesday’s only event is the adjournment of the FOMC meeting that began Tuesday. It is widely expected that Mr. Bernanke and company will not change key short-term interest rates at this meeting. But, as we have seen so many times in the past, it is the post meeting statement that often creates the most volatility in the markets. They could give an opinion of the overall economy or inflation, hinting at a possible future move or lack of one. Statements like these could cause a knee-jerk reaction in the markets and possibly mortgage pricing after the 12:30 PM ET adjournment.

Thursday’s only report is the release of May’s New Home Sales. It is similar to Tuesday’s Existing Home Sales report, but tells us how well sales of newly constructed homes were last month. It is also expected to show a decline in sales, but will likely not have much of an impact on mortgage rates because this data tracks only the 15% of home sales that Tuesday’s data does not.

There are two reports being released Friday morning. The first is the final reading to the 1st Quarter Gross Domestic Product (GDP). The GDP is the sum of all products and services produced in the U.S. and is considered to be the best measurement of economic growth or contraction. However, this data is quite aged now (covers January through March) and will likely have little impact on the bond market or mortgage pricing unless it varies greatly from previous readings. Market participants are looking more towards next month’s release of this quarter’s GDP reading. Last month’s first revision showed a 1.8% rise in the GDP, which is what analysts are expecting to see again.

May’s Durable Goods Orders will also be posted early Friday morning, giving us an indication of manufacturing sector strength. It is known to be quite volatile from month to month and is expected to show an increase of 1.0% in new orders from April to May. A large decline would be the ideal scenario for the bond market and would likely lead to a decline in mortgage pricing because it would indicate manufacturing sector weakness.

Overall, today will likely be the quietest day of the week unless the stock markets stage a rally or sizable sell-off. The most active should be Wednesday with the FOMC meeting adjourning or Friday due to the Durable Goods report being posted that day. Tuesday’s news may also affect mortgage rates, but likely not as much as other days.

Wednesday, June 15, 2011

Mortgage Rates Set New 2011 Low

Mortgage rates have continued their decline and have set yet another 2011 low, according to the Wall Street Journal.
 
A decrease in new jobs has caused the mortgage rates to fall to the lowest point of the year. The decline in fixed rates represented the eighth-straight weekly fall.

This is a result of the statement by the Bureau of Labor Statistics this week that employers did not add nearly as many private-sector jobs as they expected.

Freddie Mac’s most recent survey shed light on the lower rates, and the downward trend is continuing.

Monday, June 13, 2011

This Week’s Market Commentary

This week is pretty busy with seven economic reports scheduled to be released, all of which are being posted over four days.
 
Three of the seven are considered to be of high importance to the markets and mortgage rates. The remaining ones are of interest to the markets but likely will not cause a large change in mortgage rates unless they vary greatly from forecasts.

There are two reports scheduled for release Wednesday, but one of them is the week’s most important and arguably the single most important report we see each month. That is May’s Consumer Price Index (CPI). It is very similar to Tuesday’s PPI, but measures inflationary pressures at the more important consumer level of the economy. It is expected to show a 0.1% increase in the overall reading and a 0.1% increase in the core data. A larger than expected increase in the core reading would most likely lead to a noticeable upward change to mortgage rates Wednesday, while a weaker core reading could lead to a bond rally and lower mortgage pricing.

The first data of the week comes Tuesday when two of the highly important reports are scheduled. May’s Retail Sales data and Producer Price Index (PPI) will both be released at 8:30 AM ET Tuesday morning. The sales data gives us a very important measure of consumer spending, which is highly relevant to the bond market because consumer spending makes up two-thirds of the U.S. economy. Analysts are expecting to see that retail-level sales fell 0.7% last month. A larger decline in sales would be good news for the bond market and could lead to lower mortgage rates Tuesday.

The second release of the day is one of the week’s two key measurements of inflation. May’s Producer Price Index (PPI) will help us measure inflationary pressures at the producer level of the economy. There are two readings of this index, the overall and the core data. The core data is considered to be the more important one because it excludes more volatile food and energy prices. A large increase could raise concerns about inflation rising as soon as the economy gains some traction. This would not be good news for bond prices or mortgage rates since inflation erodes the value of a bond’s future fixed interest payments. Rising inflation causes investors to sell bonds, driving prices lower, pushing their yields upward and mortgage rates higher. Analysts are expecting to see an increase of 0.1% in the overall index and a 0.2% rise in the core data. It will not take much of a variance from forecasts for the markets to react, which would most likely lead to changes in mortgage rates.

Wednesday’s second relevant report will come mid-morning when May’s Industrial Production data is released. This report will be released at 9:15 AM ET and is considered to be moderately important. It measures output at U.S. factories, mines and utilities, giving us a fairly important measurement of manufacturing sector strength. If it reveals that production is rising, concerns of manufacturing strength may come into play in the bond market. A larger increase then the expected 0.2% would indicate that the manufacturing sector is stronger than thought and would likely help push mortgage rates higher. That is assuming that the CPI doesn’t surprise us.

May’s Housing Starts will be posted early Thursday morning. This data tracks starts of new home projects. It is the week’s least important report and likely will not affect mortgage rates unless its results vary greatly from forecasts. It is expected to show that starts of new homes rose last month, indicating some strength in the housing sector. That is basically bad news for the bond market and mortgage rates because a weak housing sector makes a broader economic recovery less likely. However, this data is not important enough to cause a noticeable change in mortgage rates.

Friday has the remaining two reports, both during late morning hours. June’s preliminary reading to the University of Michigan’s Index of Consumer Sentiment is the first. This index measures consumer willingness to spend and usually has a moderate impact on the financial markets. It is expected to show a reading of 73.5. A smaller than expected reading would be considered good news for bonds because it would mean that surveyed consumers were less optimistic about their own financial situations than thought. That often means they are less likely to make large purchases in the near future, but since this report is only moderately important it likely will not influence mortgage rates considerably.

May’s Leading Economic Indicators (LEI) will close out the week’s data at 10:00 AM Friday. The Conference Board, who is a New York-based business research group, will post this data. It attempts to predict economic activity over the next three to six months. Good news for mortgage rates would be a decline in this index, but it is expected to show a 0.4% increase.

Overall, look for Tuesday or Wednesday to be the biggest day of the week. Not just because it brings the release of four of the week’s seven reports, but also because of the importance of some of those releases. We saw plenty of movement in the markets and mortgage pricing last week and it is quite likely that this week will be similar. The stock markets will also influence bond trading and mortgage rates, so watch the major indexes in addition to the economic reports. The fact that the Dow closed the week below 12,000 will be headline news if it does not bounce back above. It is highly recommended that you maintain contact with your mortgage professional this week if still floating an interest rate.

Thursday, June 9, 2011

Buying Short Sales or Foreclosures

There’s no question that negotiating a short sale or a foreclosure can be time-consuming and frustrating. It can take months. But if you’re patient and willing to do the work, your reward will be a great house at a bargain price.
 
Short sales

For a distressed property, you could be dealing with third parties, each with their own agenda and process rules.  On short sales, banks will price a home close to the market value, but they are often willing to take less to avoid a costly foreclosure. The average short sale in the past year has sold at 14 percent off the list price, compared with a 7 percent discount for foreclosure and regular sales.

Dealing for a foreclosure

Because banks are eager to unload properties they own, they list the home at a price at which they think it will sell quickly. These properties are often bought for cash by investors. In California, 31 percent of recent deals were by cash, according to Money magazine.

In some cases, the bank that handles the foreclosure may not own the loan. During the real estate boom years, many loans were sold off to other investors. In that case, the bank who owns the property has to consider the amount investors who own the loan are willing to accept.

Wells Fargo short sale and foreclosure servicing department says, on loans insured by the Federal Housing Administration, lenders can accept no less than 88 percent of appraised fair market value in the first 30 days. That declines to 84 percent after 60 days.

How to make an offer

In deciding what to bid on a foreclosure or short sale, remember that banks aren’t interest in making several counteroffers, though they may come back to you once or twice. In weeks to come, you could resubmit the offer and it might be accepted.

Wednesday, June 8, 2011

Should You Pay Off Your Mortgage?

Homeowners may dream of the day they can pay off the mortgage. Financial advisors across the country say they are hearing questions all the time about the wisdom of retiring the mortgage early.
 
The pros:

* The obvious reason to do it: Paying off the home loan could save tens of thousands of dollars in interest during the time you would make payments.

* The second reason is the peace of mind you have from owning your home free and clear.

* Most experts recommend owning your home free and clear before you retire.

* If you still have a higher interest mortgage, paying down your principle will make refinancing easier.

The cons:

* Some financial needs should come first: Max out your 401(k) contributions. Pay off credit cards. Create a 6-month emergency cash fund.

* Mortgages are cheap money. When you pay down your mortgage or pay more every month, you are probably hoping for those big dollar savings on interest. But remember these are future dollars and they will be worth less 20 years from now. Keep your higher value dollar today and pay the bank its lower value dollar in the future.

* If you plan to move to another city or trade up or down, it’s not wise to pay off the mortgage. You would tie up your money in a home you might not be able to sell very soon when you want to buy another one.

* The mortgage interest tax deduction doesn’t help everyone. If you are in a high tax bracket, it’s more valuable. If you are retiring or in a lower tax bracket, it’s not worth as much.

* Check to see if the investment you could make with the payoff money would earn more interest than what you are presently paying on your home loan. A 50/50 stock/bond portfolio has historically earned 8.2 percent in the long term, but might only make 6 percent now, according to Money magazine.

Their conclusion The Money experts say that if paying off the mortgage would give you great satisfaction and a sense of security, go ahead and do it.

Monday, June 6, 2011

This Week’s Market Commentary

This week is very light in terms of scheduled economic reports that are relevant to mortgage pricing.
 
There are also two Treasury auctions taking place that may influence mortgage rates, but we may see the stock markets drive bond trading and changes to mortgage pricing a good portion of the week.

There is no relevant data scheduled for release today or Tuesday. Fed Chairman Bernanke will speak at the International Monetary Conference in Atlanta this afternoon, but I don’t believe we should consider this a highly important event.

There could be reference to the some of the current financial crises overseas. However, unless something said by Chairman Bernanke is highly surprising, I suspect that his speech will have a minimal or no impact on today’s afternoon rates.

The first economic report of the week comes Wednesday afternoon when the Federal Reserve will release its Beige Book. This data details economic conditions throughout the U.S. by region. It is relied upon heavily by the Federal Reserve to determine monetary policy during their FOMC meetings.

If it shows surprisingly softer economic activity, the bond market may thrive and mortgage rates could drop shortly after the 2:00 PM ET release. If it reveals signs of inflation growing or rapidly expanding economic activity in many regions, we could see mortgage rates revise higher Wednesday afternoon.

April’s Goods and Services Trade Balance report will be posted early Thursday morning. This data gives us the size of the U.S. trade deficit and will be released at 8:30 AM ET. It isn’t likely to cause much movement in the markets or mortgage rates, but nevertheless forecasters are expecting to see a $48.7 billion trade deficit. It will take a wide variance from this projection for the data to influence mortgage rates.

The two relevant Treasury auctions scheduled will be held the middle part of the week. The 10-year Treasury Note sale is scheduled for Wednesday while the 30-year Bond sale will take place Thursday. Results of both auctions will be posted at 1:00 PM ET on the sale days. If investor demand was high, we may see bonds rally during afternoon trading, however, weak demand could lead to selling and an increase to mortgage rates. It is common to see some pressure in bonds right before these sales as investors prepare for them, but as long as the sales are not weak those pre-auction losses are usually recovered once they are completed.

Overall, it likely is going to be a moderately busy week for the mortgage market. The most action will likely come during the middle days, assuming that the stock markets don’t go into heavy selling or buying. In weeks like these where there is little factual economic data being posted to drive bond trading, the stock markets often take center stage.

Sizable stock gains should lead to bond weakness and higher mortgage rates, while stock weakness will likely allow improvements to mortgage pricing. I am considering Wednesday the best candidate for most active day in rates, but that is relying on the assumption the stock markets remain relatively calm this week.

Friday, June 3, 2011

TOP TEN THINGS A LOAN OFFICER DOESN'T WANT TO HEAR A REALTOR SAY TO THEIR NEWLY APPROVED CLIENT...

  1. I think unexplained crop circles add a unique flair to any home's garden.
  2. Actually, it's only the rear portion of the yard that overlaps the ancient Indian burial ground.
  3. Yes, the last owner did donate the house to the Hell's Angels, but I'm told that the judge has ordered them not to come within 50 feet of it.
  4. One bleeding toilet doesn't necessarily mean it's haunted. 
  5. Your neighbour has assured me that, technically, they're not 'killer' bees.
  6. Even if there was a full-scale mudslide, it's unlikely that it would reach as far back as your property.
  7. Actually, it's quite common for roaches to grow that big, even when not in the presence of radioactivity.
  8. Did you know that the band Grave Reaper holds their practice sessions right next door?
  9. You can barely hear that sheet metal factory at night.
  10. And finally.....    It's true that they died in the house, but the prosecutor was never actually able to prove it was murder.